Who Will Be the Next Victim of the Grand Bounce? A nonpartisan, nonjudgmental look at the “Hair-Trigger” Form of Government
Tuesday, May 29, 2012
GAB predicts 60-65% turnout
The GAB is predicting turnout of between 60 to 65 percent of the voting age population (2.6 to 2.8 million). This would top the November 2010 gubentorial turnout (49.7%), though not as high as 2008 presidential (69.2%).
This would actually mimic California recall. The 2002 race that reelected Davis saw 7.7 million voters, the recall 9.4 million and the 2004 race 12.5 million (11.1 million in 2000).
In Wisconsin, the highest voter turnout for a gubernatorial election in the last 50 years occurred in November 1962, when 52.4 percent turned out to vote. Of course, once the voting age was lowered, turnout did drop, so factor that in.
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