Friday, June 11, 2021

California: $215 Million cost analysis for the Newsom recall

A new analysis projected that the cost of the recall would be $215 million, which is less than the $400 million first proposed, but much higher than the 2003 recall costs. Senate President Pro Tempore Toni Atkins and Assembly Speaker Anthony Rendon seem to be looking to get the recall on the ballot early. They said:

"By providing counties with the funding they need, we can waive the required period for the Joint Legislative Budget Committee to review the election costs."

It is not clear that a court will uphold this legal argument.

As I noted earlier, I would expect that the Democrats want to tout a very high number, so they can argue the recall is a waste of money, and Republicans want a low one. Dianne Feinstein used the "waste of money" argument to great effect in her 1983 San Francisco Mayoral recall and I would expect that it will be one of the pillars of the Newsom campaign (the other pillar being a straight D v. R argument that helped Newsom get a 24% margin in 2018).


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