Thursday, May 6, 2021

California: Petitioners get 1,719,943 valid signatures, with about a 19% failure rate; Newsom would need 224,235 removals to get recall off the ballot

Don't see any official report online, but recall petitioners are claiming that the Secretary of State announced that they got 1,719,943 valid signatures. They handed in 2,117,730 and needed 1,495,709.

As a practical matter, this means that Newsom would need to get 224,235 signature removals under the strike law in 30 business days to get the recall tossed. Remember that the only signatures that count would be those who signed the recall petition in the first place. That seems...unlikely? Who knows, but that is a lot.

The other fact that may be worth noting is that the signature failure rate would be about 19%, very close to what it was in the Gray Davis recall (a little under 18%). 

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