Monday, April 2, 2012

Poll shows a slight majority against Walker

I wouldn't say this is anymore of a shock than the earlier polls showing Walker barely leading -- it's going to be close and the polls seem to suggest that.

1 comment:

  1. The significance of this poll is that it was conducted by Rasmussen, which is a firm that normally works for Republicans. Nate Silver of the New York Times found that in 2010 Rasmussen had a persistent bias in favor of Republican candidates.

    http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/11/04/rasmussen-polls-were-biased-and-inaccurate-quinnipiac-surveyusa-performed-strongly/

    His article shows an average bias of plus 3.9% in 104 polls released by Rasmussen in the last 21 days before the 2010 national elections.

    The Walker campaign can dismiss other polls that show them losing in the recall race, but they can't shrug off Rasmussen.

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