Who Will Be the Next Victim of the Grand Bounce? A nonpartisan, nonjudgmental look at the “Hair-Trigger” Form of Government
Tuesday, August 6, 2019
Texas: Mineral Wells City Council member facing recall threats
Mayor Christopher Perricone is facing a recall effort. Petitioners need over 1800 signatures by August 30 to get on the ballot
Alaska: Recall petitions taken out against Governor
Petitions have now been taken out against Governor Mike Dunleavy (R), with over 10,000 signatures collected on the first day.
Dunleavy announced major spending cuts.
Alaska is a malfeasance standard/judicial recall state, so a showing of cause is needed (though the state courts has taken a lenient view of the the cause requirement in past instances).
Petitioners need to first get 28,501 signatures before the Division of Elections will consider if they meet the malfeasance standards. Then they would need 71,252 signatures to get to the ballot.
Dunleavy announced major spending cuts.
Alaska is a malfeasance standard/judicial recall state, so a showing of cause is needed (though the state courts has taken a lenient view of the the cause requirement in past instances).
Petitioners need to first get 28,501 signatures before the Division of Elections will consider if they meet the malfeasance standards. Then they would need 71,252 signatures to get to the ballot.
Michigan: Wind Farm projects leads to recall threats in Casnovia Township
Three Casnovia Township officials, Clerk Jennie Powell, Treasurer Gayle Brock and Trustee Dan Winell, are facing recall attempts on their vote to approve wind farms.
Wisconsin: Merrill Alderman resigns after surviving a previous recall
Merrill Alderman Dave Sukow, who was one of four alderman survived a recall vote in July, resigned. There was no reason given in the article.
Friday, August 2, 2019
UK: Liberal Democrats win Brecon & Radnor MP Seat in recall triumph; Conservative MP ousted
Liberal Democrat Party Leader Jane Dodds won the by-election for the Seat in Brecon and Radnor, toppling, Conservative Party MP Chris Davies, who was removed in a recall and was the Conservative candidate to replacement himself. Dobbs won 13826 to 12401, with the Brexit Party gaining 331 and Labour coming in fourth, with a drop of 12.4%. Turnout was 60%.
Davies was removed after 10,005 signatures were handed in (petitioners needed 5303 (10% of voters) to get on the ballot.
Davies was fined 1500 pounds and hit with 50 hours of community service over two false expense invoices for landscape photographs. Since the sentence was under 12 months, he is not automatically ousted.
This was the second recall removal this year. Labour MP Fiona Onasanya was ousted and replaced by a Labour MP in June.
Davies was removed after 10,005 signatures were handed in (petitioners needed 5303 (10% of voters) to get on the ballot.
Davies was fined 1500 pounds and hit with 50 hours of community service over two false expense invoices for landscape photographs. Since the sentence was under 12 months, he is not automatically ousted.
This was the second recall removal this year. Labour MP Fiona Onasanya was ousted and replaced by a Labour MP in June.
Wednesday, July 31, 2019
California: Fresno Unified Trustee facing recall threats
Fresno School Board Trustee Terry Slatic is facing recall threats after he got into arguments with a cheerleading team, a wrestling coach and an army recruiter. Slatic was put in office in December. Two trustees, Veva Islas and Keshia Thomas, spoke in favor of a recall effort.
Petitioners would need 7388 signatures in 120 days.
Petitioners would need 7388 signatures in 120 days.
California: Five Pine Mountain Lake Association Board of Directors survive recall vote
All five members of the Pine Mountain Lake Association Board of Directors, a private, gated community survived a recall vote, 1006-668. The members are President Mike Gustafson, Steve Griefer, Nick Stauffacher, Wayne Augusburger and Karen Hopkins. The issue was a $2-$2.5 million renovation to fix buildings near the golf course.
Michigan: Jackson Councilwoman facing recall effort
Jackson Councilwoman Kelsey Heck is facing a recall effort, with language approved by the Election Commission. Heck was appointed to the seat after the resignation of her predecessor. The claim is a vote on an assessment.
Petitioner would need 225 signatures to get on the ballot. A former council candidate, Susan Murdie, is leading the recall effort.
Petitioner would need 225 signatures to get on the ballot. A former council candidate, Susan Murdie, is leading the recall effort.
Tuesday, July 30, 2019
Rhode Island: Tiverton Council President, Vice President facing petitions
Tiverton Council President Robert Coulter and Vice President Justin Katz are facing recalls over complaints about an executive session at meetings. The lead petitioner, William McLaughlin, lost as a council candidate in November. Petitioner has already handed in signatures, but is adding more. Petitioner needs 587 for Katz and 505 for Coulter.
The town has an absentee veto provision. The turnout has to exceed the amount of votes each got in the last election for the recall to count (though unlike Idaho, the amount voting yes does not have to top the previous election's numbers).
The town has an absentee veto provision. The turnout has to exceed the amount of votes each got in the last election for the recall to count (though unlike Idaho, the amount voting yes does not have to top the previous election's numbers).
Idaho: Three Bannock County Commissioners join Assessor in facing recall effort over property tax increases
Bannock County Commissioners Terrel "Ned" Tovey, Steve Brown and Ernie Moser are now being threatened with a recall over property tax increases. Petitions have already been taken out against Bannock County Assessor Sheri Davies. The focus is on a delay in assessments, and miscommunication about deadlines and a lack of communication. The council has applied a 10% market reduction in one market and a 5% in the another. Petitioners need 8302 signatures (20% of registered voters) in 75 days to get Davies on the ballot and the article lists 9100 total.
If it does get to the ballot, Idaho has an Queen of the Hill rule -- the vote to remove must exceed the amount of votes each candidate received in the last election.
Update: Petitioners claim they have over 5000 signatures.
If it does get to the ballot, Idaho has an Queen of the Hill rule -- the vote to remove must exceed the amount of votes each candidate received in the last election.
Update: Petitioners claim they have over 5000 signatures.
Nebraska: Petitions taken out against Dundy County Attorney
Dundy County Attorney Gary Burke is facing petitions over complaints about his criminal proecution, though the petition apparently just cites a kitchen sink of charges of incompetence, with no specifics added. We'll see if further stories add to this. Petitioner needs 200 signatures (35% of turnout) by August 21.
Washington: Signatures handed in against 3 Mullis Community Senior Center Operations Committee boardmembers
San Juan Island's Mullis Community Senior Center Operations Committee acting Chair Stephen Shubert, Secretary Nancy Geist and Treasurer Carolyn Adler are facing a recall effort over the decision to stop a saying prayers before meals and the pledge of allegiance. Petitioners handed in 90 signatures and need 50.
Friday, July 26, 2019
Colorado: Poll shows Polis beating back recall effort
A new Magellan Strategies poll of likely voters say that 47% of Colorado voters will oppose a recall of Governor Jared Polis and 38% are in favor. Magellan is generally used by Republican candidates (with somewhat of a Republican lean in its polling), so not a good sign for the pro-recall crowd.
Michigan: Dalton Township Supervisor facing recall effort
Dalton Township Supervisor Tony Barnes is facing a recall effort over a court injunction to shut down the retail component of a family farm that has been labeled as a "nuisance." The language is still being reviewed.
Update: The petition was rejected on clarity ground
Update: The petition was rejected on clarity ground
Thursday, July 25, 2019
Articles on Recall Season
There's been a number of articles out on the recall efforts throughout the country. I'm quoted in the Associated Press, Wall Street Journal and Pew's Stateline pieces.
Note this editorial mentions that the Republicans are looking to take advantage of the lower turnout in a special election instead of a recall scheduled at the same time as a general election. However, as my research has surprisingly showed, recall actually do better when timed with a general election.
Note this editorial mentions that the Republicans are looking to take advantage of the lower turnout in a special election instead of a recall scheduled at the same time as a general election. However, as my research has surprisingly showed, recall actually do better when timed with a general election.
Oklahoma: Recall against Four Pawhuska Councilors makes the ballot -- set for October 8
A recall election will be scheduled for Pawhuska Councilors John Brazee, Mark Buchnan, Rodger Milleson and Roger Taylor. Petitioners handed in over the 108 signatures needed. The recall is over the firing and subsequent rehiring a police chief. The fifth councilor, Jourdan Foran, is exempt from the recall because he just took office.
The recall has been set for October 8.
The recall has been set for October 8.
Wednesday, July 24, 2019
California: Committee being set up to recall Governor by former congressional candidate
A move to recall Governor Gavin Newsom (D) is being set up by Dr. James Veltmeyer, who lost the Republican primary for a Congressional seat in 2018. The petitions seems to be focused on immigration issues, though there are also claims of capital punishment and the cost of the state wildfires. There is also a preexisting online petition led by someone else that has 42,000 signers, of which exactly zero would count to a real petition.
Petitioners would need about 1.5 million signatures to get on the ballot.
Petitioners would need about 1.5 million signatures to get on the ballot.
Alaska: Editorial decries recall effort against Governor Dunleavy backed by Dems
An Anchorage Press editorial claims that the PAC backing the recall of Governor Mike Dunleavy ... The PAC treasurer is an aide to Anchorage Assemblywoman Suzanne LaFrance and has "ties" to the state Democratic Party. The editorial notes claims that the recall effort maybe a data mining operation (which is claim being made against the Colorado recall. Petitioners need 28501 signatures for the first round of applying to Elections Director. If that succeeds, petitioners would need 71,252.
Washington: Mullis Community Senior Center Operations Committee facing recall petitions
Mullis Community Senior Center acting Chair Stephen Shubert, Secretary Nancy Geist and Treasurer Carolyn Adler are facing recall petitions, allegedly over a move to stop a prayer and the pledge of allegiance before senior meals.
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