Tuesday, December 31, 2024

The Year in Recalls -- 77 officials ousted, 31 survive, 16 resign; 385+ recalls attempted

Wrapping up the 14th year of recall compilations here at the blog with our year-end article in Plurbius News. Here's Ballotpedia's data, and they (unsurprisingly) have similar numbers.

The totals are very similar to last year -- 108 recall votes, 77 ousters, 31 survived and 16 resignations + one death of Quincy Murphy in Flint, Michigan.

The big change is that there was a drop in recalls attempted from 428 to 385. I generally don't love the recalls attempted stat, but there definitely was a drop in attempts, though clearly something that does not show up in the end results.

One possible reasons for the drop off is our traditional caveat of drop-off in newspaper coverage. Another maybe that perhaps with a higher percentage of officials facing the end of a term in a presidential year, there may be less of an interest in a recall effort -- though I don't believe that the numbers over time show that.

Last year saw 89 recall elections, with 52 officials removed and 37 survived. There were 18 resignations. 

For some comparisons, in 2022, there were 89 recall elections (52 officials removed, 37 survived, 18 resignations -- 415 attempts). In 2020 and 2021, voter anger over pandemic-era lockdowns inspired far more recall efforts, but far fewer actual recall results. In 2021 alone, voters attempted to recall officials more than 600 times. In 2020, just 66 officials were forced into recall elections, and 14 more resigned before they had to face a recall. The same number, 66, faced recalls in 2021, and another 17 resigned early. 

In 2019, 87 officials faced a recall vote (37 removals, 16 resignations, 34 survived). In 2018 (which I never published) saw 150 recalls make the ballot or lead to a resignation, with 85 removals, 28 resignations and 37 survivals. In 2017, we had 102 recalls, 2016, we have 119 recalls. In 2015, there were 109; 2014 (which, I never actually wrote up), 126 recalls. In 2013, we had 107 recalls2012 we had 166, and a 2011 we had 151 (the numbers do not always exactly match up to the links – I checked back and found additional recalls and removed a few).

Thursday, December 26, 2024

Wisconsin: Former State Senator Gary Petak, lost 1996 recall vote, dies

Wisconsin State Senator and Recall Hall of Famer Gary Petak died. Petak was ousted after he flipped his vote in favor of a tax to pay for the Milwaukee Brewers stadium. 

Former Wisconsin Senate Majority Leader Tim Cullen also passed away. Cullen played an important role in the Wisconsin recall battle of 2011 and wrote a book about it.

Massachusetts: Beverly Mayor and two school board members recall fails signature verification on first step

The recall attempt against Beverly Mayor Mike Cahill, School Board President Rachael Abell and Board Member Jeffrey Silva was rejected due to a lack of affidavit on 1500 signatures.

The Teachers Association threatened a recall, though now that a strike is settled, it is unclear if they will move forward beyond this first step (the gathered 400 signatures to get there). They need 5998 signatures in 28 days to get to the ballot.

California: Fort Bragg Councilmember issues public apology, forestalling recall effort

Fort Bragg Councilmember Tess Albin-Smith appears to have avoided a recall effort after issuing a public apology to another councilmember, who she accused of not being able to read, understand and write decisions.

California: Alameda County District Attorney recall update -- claims of shakedown and voter data

A subpoena has been issued to a public defender who is claiming former Alameda County District Attorney Pamela Price over claims that she filed augmented murder charges because the attorney would not contribute to the anti-recall campaign. 

And here's some maps which show how Price's campaign support dropped in a few different districts.

California: Updates on the Oakland Mayoral recall fallout, including candidates for replacement race

Former Representative Barbara Lee (D) is considering running in the replacement race for Oakland Mayor. Former Mayor Sheng Thao's Chief of Staff Reina Webb has announced a run (though Webb blasted Thao). Thao herself hasn't ruled out running in her exit interview, so perhaps we're on to something!

Taiwan: Hsinchu City Mayor facing recall effort

There is a recall effort against Hsinchu City Mayor Ann Kao (formerly Taiwan People's Party), who was sentenced to seven years (and four months) in prison for claiming assistant fees when she was a legislator. She is already suspended from office. Petitioners need 3547 signatures for the first stage of the recall effort.

Michigan: Flint unable to fill council seat from recall target who died before election held

The ongoing Flint recall trainwreck now includes a futile 131 ballot effort to fill the seat that Councilmember Quincy Murphy held, before he died weeks before his recall election.

Ballotpedia's year end recall wrap-up

Ballotpedia has come out with their year-end recall wrap-up (I'll have mine up soon as the last post of the year). Our numbers are pretty similar (and I do check out all the recalls on their site, so no surprise), though there are a little bit of differences on the margins. 

They report 76 officials kicked out, with 33 surviving and 16 resignations. They also report 381 officials targeted in 244 efforts, which is a drop from last year and the lowest since 2020.

Thursday, December 19, 2024

California: Deep look into San Mateo County Sheriff recall and the history of sheriff recalls in California

Here's a deep look at the effort to recall San Mateo County Sheriff Christina Corpus and some details on the history of sheriff recalls in California.

I'm cited, especially on the fact that with only 58 sheriff's in the state, it's not a surprise that there are few recalls on the ballot.

While there have been a number of recalls against sheriffs in other places in the country (I see 4 since 2011 that made the ballot, with 3 removals), none have been in California. KQED's Brian Krans said that the most recent one he found (and maybe the only one) was in 1976 against Plumas County Sheriff W.C. Abernethy, who retired for six days before being sworn in for his sixth term in order to collect his pension. He was kicked out (though it was a close 2% margin).

The Supervisors are looking to put a ballot proposition for a vote in March allowing for removal of a sheriff with causes, with a 3/4's vote of the supervisor's. The article notes how California changed the law in the past over this.

The recall needs over 45,000 signatures.

The issue is over claims of a work romance and a use of slurs.  

Colorado: Loveland City Council recall set for March 4

The recall election against Loveland City Council member Troy Krenning has now been set for March 4. Seems like the lawsuits against it helped delay the election date.

The recall appears to be over votes to remove the City Manager and City Attorney, as well as a rescission, that Krenning claims avoided litigation.

Petitioners needed 1615 signatures to get on the ballot.

Krenning served on the council from 2013-2017 with one of the recall leaders, former Councilmember Dave Clark. 

Wednesday, December 18, 2024

California: State Senator Josh Newman, recall phoenix, loses reelection run

The political career of state Senator Josh Newman (D) has taken another swerve, as he lost his reelection race (with significant opposition from a union). Newman is already looking to comeback. 

Newman was kicked out in a recall in June 2018 with 58% against, and replaced by Senator Ling Ling Chang (R). Newman had previously beat Chang in 2016 by 2498 and then lost a recall vote in 2018, where Chang replaced Newman. (Chang did not technically run against Newman in the recall -- the vote was an up or down against Newman, with Chang selected in a same day replacement vote).

The recall was launched over a gas tax and the Republicans push to deprive Democrats of a 2/3rds supermajority in the Senate. The Democrats quickly recaptured the supermajority in the fall elections.

Oregon: Josephine County Commissioner losing in preliminary totals

Josephine County Commissioner John West is losing in the preliminary election vote, which was held on December 17, with 62% against. The recall is over claims of insufficient law enforcement funding, defunding a service district and an auctioning off of timberland. 

West sought an injunction claiming that the recall handbook wasn't followed.  The claim is that they used a statistical sampling method to check the signatures (checking 10%) instead of checking every single one. Petitioners needed over 4500 signatures.

The recall is apparently led by former Commissioner and state Representative Lily Morgan. Both are Republicans.

One of the other Commissioners, Herman Baertschiger, was not targeted as he did not run for reelection. He did face a failed recall attempt in 2022.

California: Chief Assistant named interim Alameda County District Attorney

With Alameda County D.A. Pamela Price out, her Chief Assistant Royl Roberts has taken over on an interim basis. AS I've mentioned before, not sure how this works, but I'm pretty clear no one else knows either. The county will be appointing a more permanent temporary replacement, perhaps in February.

Taiwan: KMT locks out ruling party and passes "Queen of the Hill" recall provision in committee

No idea what this means, but the opposition  Kuomintang Party locked the ruling Democratic Progressive Party, out of a committee room and passed the recent push to change Taiwan's recall law

The law is a  "queen of the hill"  which requires the pro-recall vote to top the amount of votes received in the official's original election. The Central Election Commission notes that Taiwan would be the only county with such a law. While I can't say about countries, Idaho has this law. 

The current law which currently has a "absentee veto" requirement (25% must turnout for the recall to count), 

No idea if that lock out counts or if this will just be rejected on the floor.

Maine: Arundel's RSU 21 School Board member loses recall vote after she resigns

Though she resigned weeks ago, the recall vote was still held for Arundel's RSU 21 School Board member Kristin Shapiro, and she lost 171-3

The recall effort was over claims about behavior and the board censured her for comments and outbursts, though the precipitating event seems to be that she is also on the contract negotiations committee (with a contract currently in mediation), which has led to tensions between teachers and the board. 

Petitioners needed 231 signatures (10% of gubernatorial turnout) in 14 days. 

In 2022, Kennebunk had a recall against school board member Tom Stentiford, which he survived. Contract negotiations were also a major part of that recall.

California: Temporary Mayor takes over in Oakland

City Council President Nikki Fortunato Bas has taken over as temporary Mayor over Oakland, though it will only be briefly. Bas was just elected to as an Alameda County Supervisor, so she will be leaving the mayoralty fairly soon.

California: Alameda County District Attorney and Oakland Mayor ousted in recall vote -- questions on who will replace them

After a bit of time, we have the final numbers in the two big recalls of Alameda County District Attorney Pamela Price, 375,442-221-285 and Oakland Mayor Sheng Thao, 86,535-56,220, with both ousted. Who will replace them is the big question.

On the SOCOA Blog, I provide my thoughts on why the law as (re-)written has opened up a surprising path that was previously banned by California -- both Price and Thao could run in the replacement race and Price could even be appointed to replace herself.

I want to provide some more background on the history of how this came about and the decisions that made these two recalls so fraught.

The starting point here should be 2017. During the recall effort against State Senator Josh Newman, the state legislature adopted laws that I would say were specifically designed to throw up roadblocks to getting recalls on the ballot. Some of these rules padded in months to the process after the signatures were turned in, forced a focus on the expense of the actual election (which seems to lead to inflated cost-projections), made it more difficult for signature gatherers, -- including specifying font/point size, which is not done for other signature efforts -- and (in one positive point) allowed signers to withdraw their names from the petition.

This was not enough, though. In 2022, following the recalls of Newman, California Governor Gavin Newsom, SF DA Boudin and three SF school board members, the legislature passed two laws impacting the recall, AB 2582 and 2584.

The big changes with these laws is that they tried to do away with the replacement election model for local officials and judges (there's also a requirement that recall petitions now carry the statement from the targeted official). State officials would require a constitutional amendment --there is an attempt to pass just such a law for Gubernatorial recalls). Presumably, the legislature believed that this would tamp down on recalls. Officially, they focused on the partisan nature of recalls, though dedicated readers (well, spambots) are aware that is very much not why the vast majority of local recalls occur – they are really policy or personality-based. Perhaps backers of the amendment could also have been concerned about people who lost the last election and either want to take the seat or simply regain it for another official. That happens (not that often, but enough that it could be its own category), but it is hard to say that this would solve that situation at all. If (as happens not infrequently) one governmental body is divided, the lack of a replacement race could lead to their opponents making the appointment.

As I mention in the piece, a good number of states forgo the replacement race, though it does not appear to actually limit recalls. Oregon, which has such a law and has had roughly the same amount of recalls as California since 2011 (when I started this here blog), is a prime example of how this may not stop voters from seeking an early termination to a term.

So how does the new law work? It requires (non-charter cities/counties and those that adopt the state law) position be filled according to existing official vacancy laws. Most of these vacancy laws are written for other circumstances – resignations, deaths or election to other offices. In those case, an election cannot be held concurrently with the original election. This leads to a nice delay between the election and the replacement.

But the way this law was written creates a hole – can someone run to replace themselves? The law now appears to do try to do two things at once. The 2022 change outright deleted the old Section 11381(b) dealing with local elections. The old 11381(c) is now (b) and seems to bar self-replacement, and reads “No person whose recall is being sought may be a candidate to succeed himself or herself at a recall election.”

However, right in the next sentence, the new 11382 specifically says “There shall not be an election for a successor in a recall of a local officer…” So if a jurisdiction like Oakland and Alameda mandate a vote for the replacement, is it a recall or is it simply a regular run-of-the-mill special election vacancy that is “filled according to the law”? If it is not a recall election – as the plain language clearly says – should Thao and Price be able to run in the replacement race?

The new law kicks it back to the local laws for the replacement procedure, and both Alameda’s and Oakland’s charters say nothing about barring recalled officials from replacing themselves.

Looking back, the earliest recall laws in California used a snap election method (similar to Wisconsin and as used in the UK and Canada) and the official facing the recall was automatically included on the ballot. Modesto seems to be the first city to the “yes/no” ballot question rather than a new election. Oakland seems to be the first city that combined the recall question and replacement vote into a one-day procedure and, at the time, allowed the official to replacement themselves.

As I note in the SOCOA blog post, the Partnoy v. Shelley (2003) ruling rejected the idea that the “recall and the successor election are in fact the same process” holding that it “cannot be contended that the incumbent is, in effect, on the same ballot as the potential successors.” The Court goes on to rule “that the words ‘recall election’ in California Elections Code section 11383 refers to the ‘yes or ‘no’ vote for or against recalling the incumbent official.” There is a discussion of how the law was written in 1911, but frankly, I don't see it in Franklin Hichborn's Story of the Session of the California Legislature 1911. There is also a look back at the 1974 amendment to the recall that took much of the text out of the California Constitution, though nothing that seems that pertinent to an answer.

 Note also that the California Fair Political Practices Commission holds (for state recalls) that they are two distinct parts of the same coin, with the recall portion deemed a ballot measure (and therefore there is no limit on fundraising/donations) and the second replacement part is a candidate election. It’s not clear how it would treat the second replacement part if there is no election.

Oakland has a weird mayoral carousel, which, thanks to the success of Council President Nikki Fortunato Bas, will lead to four mayors in a short time. But the city has been linked up to the state recall law for some time.

Alameda was a different story. It had its own recall law, but it was a bit of a Home Run Baker situation, with a law that officials claimed would not work – like a very short timeframe to count the signatures. They pushed for Measure B and, once that passed, picked and chose from the laws to delay the recall until Election Day.   

One fact that is interesting is that Price was apparently the first District Attorney in the County to originally win the office in an election rather than be appointed and then win in subsequent races. There were appointive replacements in 1994 and 2009. Another is that the law was changed to put the District Attorney election on the same time frame as the Presidential election, thereby giving Price a potential six year term.

There is another question that has a significant impact for Californians – can an official be reappointed to the position. It seems unlikely given the political risks to the supervisors. But, as I note, there are examples from other states. In California, there are many jurisdictions – especially the schools boards – that require replacement by appointment. Allowing self-replacement by appointment could lead to exactly the type of chaos that the original provision was designed to avoid.  There are also issues with when the official is out of office, though this is no longer applicable with Price.

All of this may sound strange, but California once had such laws and other states permit recalled officials to run to replace themselves — and some have succeeded. For example, the mayor of Fall River, Massachusetts, did so in 2019, losing the recall and winning the same-day replacement race. In the early days of the recall, California localities allowed self-replacement, and Oakland itself once had this very provision. For the reappointment, we saw an example this year in Oregon, where three Kings City councilmembers were recalled, and one of the ousted officials was chosen as a replacement for one of the other seats (a court challenge is pending).

Tuesday, December 17, 2024

Nebraska: Recall effort against Kimball Mayor fails

The recall effort against Kimball Mayor John Morrison failed, with petitioners unable to get the 280 needed (petitioners claimed they were 100 down). The recall was over a tax levy, a claimed delay in replacing a council member and other general issues.

Sunday, December 15, 2024

Colorado: Two Collbran Trustees recall makes the ballot

Collbran Trustees Matilda Evans and Lorraine Zentz will face a recall vote in early 2025. The issue seems to be how they were elected. Both ran unopposed and the election was cancelled under Colorado law. Petitioners seem particularly unhappy with the Town Administrator. 

Petitioners did not have enough signatures on the first pass, but they met the hurdle in a 15 day cure period. They needed 32 signatures. The recall must be held in 90 days from the January 7th meeting.